Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 1.925160 2.009689 2.096812 2.193526 2.298134 2.408139 2.532928
2025-12-14 1.744987 1.861255 1.985669 2.129460 2.292034 2.471320 2.685637
2025-12-21 1.642995 1.783464 1.938500 2.123938 2.341944 2.593013 2.908464
2025-12-28 1.580569 1.741954 1.924980 2.150770 2.425991 2.756407 3.192686
2026-01-04 1.500860 1.673204 1.872757 2.124949 2.441389 2.834536 3.376159
2026-01-11 1.451351 1.635504 1.852952 2.134225 2.497366 2.964440 3.637119
2026-01-18 1.415587 1.611129 1.846284 2.157244 2.569963 3.119421 3.947768
2026-01-25 1.366408 1.567051 1.811772 2.141029 2.587795 3.199602 4.158299
2026-02-01 1.314688 1.516981 1.766540 2.107086 2.577716 3.237769 4.307412
2026-02-08 1.254862 1.454067 1.701766 2.043132 2.521052 3.202925 4.335550
2026-02-15 1.213418 1.412786 1.662925 2.011589 2.507127 3.228548 4.462923
2026-02-22 1.186822 1.389333 1.646028 2.008527 2.532828 3.314555 4.701054
2026-03-01 1.150940 1.354439 1.614975 1.987659 2.536193 3.374127 4.917164
2026-03-08 1.108352 1.309564 1.569147 1.944172 2.503734 3.375123 5.029552
2026-03-15 1.084859 1.288980 1.555141 1.945086 2.538355 3.488422 5.376493
2026-03-22 1.071854 1.281691 1.558690 1.971179 2.613378 3.677189 5.916223
2026-03-29 1.043730 1.253054 1.531512 1.950482 2.612508 3.733785 6.187747
2026-04-05 1.027225 1.239474 1.524601 1.959315 2.659543 3.880825 6.700200
2026-04-12 1.015434 1.231793 1.525474 1.979630 2.726630 4.072745 7.379134
2026-04-19 0.993782 1.209774 1.504983 1.965853 2.734713 4.151852 7.791406
2026-04-26 0.968643 1.182183 1.475503 1.936617 2.713970 4.171201 8.044649
2026-05-03 0.936891 1.144609 1.430512 1.881233 2.644319 4.084800 7.969335
2026-05-10 0.914858 1.120124 1.403862 1.853855 2.622673 4.095852 8.195708